Don't look now, but the Heat are starting to run away in the Eastern Conference. They may have struggled earlier in the year, but they look pretty damn good these days. There's pretty much no chance the Heat would get upset in the first round, so let's take a look at the teams directly behind Miami in the standings and figure out if any of them would have a chance in a 7-game series (spoiler alert: the Heat should be considered heavy favorites to make the NBA Finals).
MIAMI HEAT - (40-14)
What They Do Well: 49.2% Team Field Goal Percentage (1st in NBA); 38.6% Team 3-Point Percentage (3rd); 102.8 Points-per-game (5th); 43.9% Opponents' Field Goal Percentage (7th); Defensive Efficiency (12th).
Where They Struggle: Rebound Rate (22nd)... that's about it.
Bottom Line: I'm not going to sit here and tell you that the Heat have any glaring weaknesses, because they are, in fact, really really good. Miami is tremendously efficient offensively, and they are still one of the best defensive teams in the league (although they've slipped a little from last season). Really, the only thing they don't do particularly well is rebound and they've managed do deal with that all year.
INDIANA PACERS - (35-21; 6 Games Back)
What They Do Well: Rebounding Rate (1st); Defensive Efficiency (1st); 41.9% Opponents' Field Goal Percentage (1st); Allowing 90.2 Points-per-game (2nd)
Where They Struggle: 43.1% Field Goal Percentage (26th); 35.1% 3-Point Percentage (17th); 92.8 Points-per-game (28th); Offensive Efficiency (24th)
How They Stack Up: The Pacers are the best defensive team in the league, by far. This may have slipped past you because it's so boring to watch because nobody tunes into NBA games for defense. But it's still true. Indiana's rotations are great, they force tough jump shots, and they don't allow many offensive rebounds. And that's exactly why I think they would have a shot against the Heat. Yes, their offense is anemic. But, they have a potential 20-point scorer returning from injury (Danny Granger) and match up relatively well against the big three of Miami. Paul George is one of the best wing defenders in the game, and could give LeBron some trouble; Roy Hibbert is a tough defender down low and would be a difficult matchup for Bosh (in the post, at least); and the Pacers have enough athletic guys on the wing to throw at Wade and make him work (guys like George Hill, Lance Stephenson, Gerald Green). The big question is obviously their offense, which honestly might not be good enough. Still, I think the Pacers could force the Heat to play ugly basketball and would have a puncher's chance to win the series.