Thursday, 13 October 2011

2011-12 NHL Preview - Pacific Division

Anaheim Ducks

The Ducks came second in what was best division in the NHL last year. The Pacific division sent four out of its five teams to the playoffs, but only the Sharks made it out of the first round. The Ducks are poised to have another solid season and should be a factor in the 2011-12 playoffs.

Anaheim was one of only two teams to have three players in the top 15 in points last season, along with Vancouver. Maurice Richard trophy winner Corey Perry (50G, 48A), Teemuu Selanne (31G, 49A) and Ryan Getzlaf (19G, 57A) led the Ducks' offense and contributed to the team's 23.5% powerplay percentage, tied for second in the league. Anaheim would benefit from a more balanced offense, however, as the Ducks' only other forward inside the top 100 point scorers last season was Bobby Ryan (34G, 37A). Saku Koivu was their next-best forward who put up 45 points (136th in the league).

2010-11 Maurice Richard Trophy winner Corey Perry


Defensively, Anaheim is led by Lubomir Vishnovsky who scored 68 points (18G, 50A), tops among D-men last season, and finished with a +18 rating. Cam Fowler is a young stud on defense for the Ducks, as he put up 10 goals and 30 assists last year but finished -19. Toni Lydman had a solid campaign as he scored 25 points while posting a +32 rating which was tied for second-best in 2010-11. This solid group of blueliners helped goaltender Jonas Hiller finish with a 2.56 GAA and a .924 save percentage, fifth-best last season.

With a solid crop of talented scorers and defensemen, Anaheim is set to have another successful season. The Ducks won 29 out of 39 games last year that were decided by one goal, which was a league-high. However, the team also surrendered more goals than they scored in even-strength play, which was only alleviated by a great PP unit. If Anaheim can continue to win tough, close games and play better 5-on-5 hockey, expect this team to have a great season and make a strong playoff run.

Dallas Stars

The Stars finished at the bottom of the Pacific division last season but had the most points (95) out of all teams in the NHL that missed the playoffs. Dallas will try to crack the Western conference's top 8 this year, but will have to do so without their best player in 2010-11, Brad Richards.

This year, the Stars will look to captain Brendan Morrow and Loui Eriksson to provide the bulk of their offense. Morrow finished last season with 56 points (33G, 23A) while Eriksson put 73 points (27G, 46A). Mike Ribeiro will likely take over duties as first-line center in Brad Richards' absence, and will likely see a rise in his point total from last season which saw him net 19 goals and 52 assists. These three forwards combined for 26 powerplay goals last year, but could struggle to repeat these totals without Richards quarterbacking the unit. Jamie Benn, who put up 22 goals and 34 assists last year, is another quality forward that will play an important role providing secondary scoring for the Stars.

On the blueline, Dallas is led by the veteran Stephane Robidas who put up 30 points (5G, 25A) last year. The Stars acquired Alex Goligoski from Pittsburgh last season for forward James Neal, a move which should improve Dallas' defense going into this season. Goligoski is competent at both ends of the ice, and scored 14 goals and 32 assists in his unusual 83-game season. The former Penguin also had a stellar +20 rating as well as 7 powerplay goals. Dallas's blueline is supplemented by other solid D-men, including Trevor Daley, Matt Niskanen and new addition Sheldon Souray.

The question for Dallas this season is whether they can make up for the loss of Brad Richards. The signing of Michael Ryder might help this, but the Stars' goal differential of -6 is a glaring issue that needs to be corrected if the Stars are to make the playoffs this year. With a talented goaltender in Kari Lehtonen surrounded by skilled and experienced players, the Stars have all the makings of a playoff team.

Los Angeles Kings

The Kings were one of the benefactors of the huge shakeup that transpired in Philadelphia this offseason. The Flyers sent their captain, Mike Richards, to L.A. for stud prospect Brayden Schenn and the gritty and talented Wayne Simmonds. Richards should be a huge factor, especially in the playoffs, for this team deprived of postseason experience.

Anze Kopitar missed seven games last season but still managed to lead his team in points with 73 (25G, 48A) to go along with a +25 rating. The Kings' captain, power-forward Dustin Brown, scored 28 goals and added 29 assists, and plays a similar game to that of Mike Richards, who put up 66 points (23G, 43A) last year. L.A. should be very solid offensively this year, with these three forwards who each pose a threat to opponent's defensemen. Other forwards that will contribute significantly this year include Dustin Penner, Jarret Stoll, Simon Gagne and Justin Williams.

Mike Richards will be a key part of LA's 2011-12 season

Erik Johnson and Drew Doughty are the Kings' best defensemen. Doughty played an average of over two minutes per game more than Johnson, while still finishing with a +13 rating to Johnson's -21. Doughty, arguably the league's best offensive defenseman, scored 5 of his 11 goals on the powerplay last season and added 29 assists, while Johnson put up 42 points (5G, 37A) in six more games. Doughty and Johnson will head the unit that is responsible for protecting the ice in front of goaltender Jonathan Quick. Quick started 60 games last year and posted a .918 save percentage to go with a 2.24 GAA, tied for 5th in the league.

The Kings' special-teams units were a mix of good and bad last year. Their PK came 4th with a success rate of 85.5%, while the power-play converted on only 16.1% of tries, 23rd in the league. L.A. has all the talent necessary to have a great power-play unit, especially with Doughty at the point. Look for the Kings' PP numbers to improve this year, and for Los Angeles to finish the season comfortably in playoff position.

Phoenix Coyotes

The Coyotes surprised many last year and finished sixth in the Western conference, although they had the lowest win total of any playoff team (tied with Buffalo). Phoenix had thirteen overtime losses last season, tied for the most in the league. The biggest change for the Coyotes this year will be in net, as they lost star goalie Ilya Brygaloz to free agency.

Veterans Shane Doan and Ray Whitney led the offensive charge for the 'Yotes in 2010-11. Captain Doan missed 10 games but still managed to produce a team-high 60 points (20G, 40A), while Whitney had 57 points (17G, 40A) in 75 games. Radim Vrbata was next-best for the Coyotes with 48 points (19G, 29A), including 10 powerplay goals. Youngster Kyle Turris will likely improve on his 25 points with another year under his belt.

Keith Yandle came to Phoenix in the deal that saw Peter Mueller sent to the Avalanche. Yandle didn't disappoint in 2010-11 as he finished with the Coyotes' 2nd highest point total. Yandle also finished 3rd in the NHL in points for defensemen with 59 (11G, 48A), to go with a +12 rating. Yandle also logged a whopping 24:22 minutes per game. Phoenix's blueline is strengthened by veteran Adrian Aucoin and mid-season acquisition Michal Rozsival. Aucoin tallied 22 points in 75 games and had a solid +18 rating, while Rozsival had 21 points and a +6 rating in just 65 games.

The Coyotes' special-teams were atrocious last year, especially for a playoff team. Their PP unit was 24th in league, converting on 15.9% of chances. Even worse was their penalty-kill, which survived unscathed just 78.4% of the time, 26th in the NHL. One stat which seemingly explains the Coyotes' playoff berth despite their special-teams woes is their even-strength goal for/against ratio of 1.17. This figure was 4th in the league last year, behind only Boston, Vancouver and Philadelphia.

Goaltenders Mike Smith and Jason Labarbera are in charge of the Coyote net now that Ilya Bryzgalov signed a huge deal with the Flyers this offseason. Phoenix's chances of repeating their playoff season from last year will greatly depend of the performance of these two. I expect the Coyotes to narrowly miss the 2011-12 postseason in what is the most competitive division in a tough Western conference.

San Jose Sharks

The San Jose Sharks yet again fell short of their sky-high expectations last playoffs, after a strong regular season. The Sharks finished at the top of the Pacific division and behind only President's trophy winners Vancouver in the Western conference. After acquiring two big name players in Brent Burns and Martin Havlat, GM Doug Wilson is hoping that his team finally has all the pieces of a Stanley Cup champion.

The Sharks' offense starts with elite playmaker Joe Thornton. Thornton has a history of getting the most out of his linemates, like he did with Sergei Samsonov and Martin Lapointe in Boston. He will now have Martin Havlat to work with, who is a talented and valuable contributor when healthy. Havlat came over from Minnesota in a deal that sent Dany Heatley to the Wild. Havlat managed to play in all but four games last season, finishing with 22 goals and 40 assists. The Sharks finished 5th in goals for last year, and will likely finish near the top again this season. Joe Thornton tallied 21 goals and 49 assists last year and was 2nd in San Jose to Patrick Marleau's 73 points (37G, 36A). The Sharks have tremendous depth up front, as the list of talented forwards continues with Joe Pavelski, Ryan Clowe and Logan Couture. Pavelski is a tremendous asset; a two-way forward, great centerman and excellent penalty killer. Clowe plays a gritty all-around game, as displayed in his 62 points (24G, 38A), +13 rating and 100 penalty minutes. Couture had a Calder trophy-worthy season in his first year recording 32 goals and 24 assists with a +18 rating.

San Jose's depth continues at the blueline, led by the puck-moving and smooth skating Dan Boyle. Boyle had 9 goals and 41 assists last season, logging a tremendous 26:14 minutes of ice-time per game. New addition Brent Burns, acquired from the Wild for Devin Setoguchi, is a highly skilled defensemen capable of providing offense from the point and shutting down opposing forwards in the defensive end. Burns will look to have a similar season to last year where he put up 46 points (17G, 29A), playing just over 25 minutes a game. These two headline a defensive group that also includes solid blueliners like Ian White, Jason Demers and Marc-Eduoard Vlasic.

Antti Niemi will try to win his second Stanley Cup, this time with the Sharks 

With amazing talent in front of him, goaltender Antti Niemi should be able to build on his solid season last year where he put up a 2.38 GAA, a .920 save percentage and 6 shutouts. San Jose has all the potential to dethrone Vancouver as President trophy winners, and should make it at least as far as they did in the 2010-11 playoffs, the conference finals. One issue that may arise is Martin Havlat's playoff performance. He is by no means a tough or experienced playoff performer— a guy that could easily succumb to the mental and physical rigours of the NHL postseason. This is why I think Havlat won't be a major contributor if San Jose is to take the next step and compete in the Stanley Cup finals.

Predicted division standings:

1. San Jose
2. Anaheim
3. Los Angeles
4. Dallas
5. Phoenix

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